2012-09-30
2012-10-08
x wisconsin

STATION
CNBC 1
KCSM (PBS) 1
KRCB (PBS) 1
WJLA 1
LANGUAGE

Set Clip Length:


-- the preponderance of evidence seems to be that romney is losing tra. the rasmussen polloes not wait democrats more heavily -- >> robopolling. >> we have an expert here in mark shields. >> we are in conservative wine country now. it is a miracle that ronald reagan won 49 states without fox news, rush limbaugh, sean hannity, drudge report, with the network's dominant and "the washington post" and "the new york times" ascended. mitt romney is being undone by some conspiracy out of a 7- eleven in falls church? [laughter] >> there was no other reagan. was unique and a political actor unlike any we have seen. putting mitt against him is unfair. he is not a great campaigner. i think he would be a great president, but he is not a great campaigner. evan is right. if the polls are 0.9% in one direction, there probably true. -- 90% in one direction, they are probably true. but you have to apply a formula by who is likely to show up. if you apply the model of the 2008lectorate, you get one result, highly pro-obama. but if you say the electorate will look more like 2004, then the race is even. i think that is

? the preponderance of the evidence seems to be that is losing. argument. the rasmussen poll does not weight democra more heavily -- polling.is the robo- >> we have an expert here in the results, but be wh they are. we are into conservative wine country now. [laughter] is a miracle that ronald reagan without fox news, lemmel, sean hannity -- limbaugh, sean hannity, and with the networks' domince and washington post" and "the imes" ascended. poor mitt undone by a a 7-e-eleven in falls church by polling coanies?s? [laughter] >> first of all, there is no reagan. uque, a political actor unlike any we have seen. putting mitt up against him is exactly fair. but he is not a great campaigner. i happen to think he would ba good president, but he is not a great campaigner. on the polls, i think evan i right. 90% are pointing in one rectio they are probably true. -- but there is one issue here. the numbers are wrong, but you to apply a formula when -- numbers are raw, but y have to apply a formula when you look at to ow up.ng you apply the model of the 2008 electorate, you get a that is pro-obama. but if you s

is up 50% to 44% for governor romney. rasmussen has it much tighter, though. has the president up by just two points, 48 to 46 for mr. romney. could the spreading benghazi gate scandal slow the president's momentum? let's ask former governor charlie crist of the crucial battleground state of florida. governor crist it in tampa. mario diaz was in miami. governor crist, my mom says hi. still remembers you fondly when you dropped by her 85th birthday. i have to say governor rick scott is sending her love letters. i don't know, man. out of sight, out of mind. you got to get back into the game. >> your mother is a great lady and i was honored to be at her birthday and i want to thank you publicly for come doing carol and my wedding about four years ago. it was nice to have is you in st. peter's. thank you for the invitation. >> geraldo: you are great couple and i appreciated being with us. what about benghazi gate? does it have legs in florida? >> i don't think we know yet. i really don't. until you get answers to some of the questions i have seen you pose o on the segment befoe i don'

state. and then you got the deviations between rasmussen consistently and some of the other, whether it's quinnipiac or the other ones. that's all we got, though. and we have to talk about them, i guess. i take all of them with such a huge grain of salt. >> well, and joe, there's reason for all of us to take them with a bigger grain of salt than we used to in the past for this reason. it's becoming harder and harder to poll because response rates are down. >> recording. i hang up immediately. they're trying to give me a cruise. do you ever pick up the phone and it's -- and i go no, captain. i don't want to go. >> there are two different questions on the table, joe. one is the accuracy of telephone polling. it's getting harder and harder to do. most pollsters think we're going to move to online. but the second is the exit polls. >> i remember how downtrodden bush was in the afternoon. john kerry -- they were toasting mr. president in boston. >> this is where some of the participation rate questions also come into play. these are in person interviews. people with different views, if they

: and speaking of numbers this is rasmussen -- [♪ "world news tonight" theme ♪] >> stephanie: said obama 332 electoral votes, romney at 206. >> wow. >> stephanie: and it is only going to get worse, isn't it john? >> unless the governor can turn it around. paul ryan was supposed to be the guy to get people excited about mitt romney. and i do give him credit he gave a good performance. he lied through his teeth, but he won the debate in terms of performance. >> stephanie: yes, it is winning by cheating. if everything you said were true, i suppose it would be a different story. by the way what does it say about paul ryan that obama still holds a double-digit lead in wisconsin? >> it says that paul ryan is still running for his congressional seat and not giving it up. there are paul ryan for congress signs popping up all over wisconsin. >> stephanie: it seems like he thinks he may need a backup plan of some sort. >> a day job if you will. >> stephanie: jeanie in ohio. >> caller: hi guys. john good luck with your new show tonight. >> thank you very much. it will be a lot of fun.

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